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"Probability and predictors of transition from first use to dependence on nicotine, alcohol, cannabis, and cocaine: results of the National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions (NESARC)"

Greg: Lets see

And I think interestingly the AMA has moved

First, given rapid changes to available models driven in part by constantly evolving technology, attempts to estimate ranges are futile because the data becomes quickly outdated almost as soon as it is set. Second, CTA stated well-established resources exist for product comparisons, including consumer and trade publications and product reviews

Lancet 2001